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NRF retail predictions

NRF’s Top 5 Retail Predictions for 2025

The National Retail Federation (NRF) recently released a list of 25 predictions for the retail industry in 2025. As independent hardware and paint retailers, here are the most significant predictions to prepare for this year.

  1. NRF predicts generative AI will create hyper-personalized shopping experiences for customers, recommending and choosing what customers need before they know themselves. AI allows retailers to anticipate customer’s shopping moves before they start shopping.
  2. While online shopping has been and will continue to be popular, live shopping is predicted to see a rise. NRF claims customers are seeking in-person experiences and entertainment, and want to receive personalized shopping experiences. The in-person shopping experience still holds value, allowing retailers to connect with customers face-to-face.
  3. Along the same lines, NRF also encourages retailers to more heavily invest in in-store services and experiences. These services are revenue drivers and a reason for customers to visit your store in person.
  4. To reach all audiences, retailers should cater marketing techniques to the preferences and values of different generations, NRF says. For example, Gen X prefers convenience and efficiency and Baby Boomers value trust and clarity in product offerings. Millennials value personalization and experiences while Gen Z customers appreciate a brand’s authenticity and social responsibility standards.
  5. NRF also predicts a surge in cashless payments in 2025. According to IntelliPay, mobile and contactless payments are predicted to increase by 12.4% each year from 2025 to 2034. One-click checkout and payment options will also increase.

About Annie Palmer

Annie joined the NHPA staff in 2024 as a content development coordinator on the editorial team. Annie was born and raised in the Indianapolis area and graduated from Lipscomb University with a B.B.A. in Marketing. Her favorite hobbies include baking, photography, traveling and visiting coffee shops.

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